A former aide in the Obama administration painted a bleak outlook for Democrats, saying the party has no path back to the White House unless it regains its foothold with Hispanic voters.

From 2016 to 2024, the number of Hispanics eligible to vote jumped from 27 million to 36 million, according to Pew Research. In the 2016 and 2020 elections, Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden won that demographic by large margins over President Donald Trump (66%-28% in 2016 and 61%-36% in 2020).

But last year, former Vice President Kamala Harris attracted just 51% of the Hispanic vote to 46% for Trump, according to exit polls by NBC News, CNN, and The Washington Post. Trump’s total surpassed the 44% that George W. Bush gained in 2004.

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